Download Generic PA Model

This is an example of a probabilistic Performance Assessment (PA) built using the GoldSim systems analysis programming platform developed by the GoldSim Technology Group LLC.

The intent of this generic PA model is to demonstrate the development and utility of a probabilistic PA, which provides a great deal more information than a traditional deterministic PA. This approach captures uncertainty by defining input parameters stochastically, and propagates this uncertainty through the PA model to produce output results that reflect their overall uncertainty. These results better reflect the state of knowledge about a particular radioactive waste disposal site and its behavior than is possible with a deterministic model, and hence provides decision makers and stakeholders a better feel and understanding of potential harmful effects from the disposal of radioactive wastes.